Display Abstract

Title A mean-field SAIS epidemic model with awareness decay

Name Joan Saldana
Country Spain
Email joan.saldana@ima.udg.edu
Co-Author(s) Istvan Z. Kiss, David Juher
Submit Time 2014-02-25 05:30:45
Session
Special Session 66: Deterministic and stochastic models in biology and medicine
Contents
The existence of a die-out threshold (different from the classic disease-invasion one) defining a region of slow extinction of an epidemic has been proved elsewhere for susceptible-alert-infected models without awareness decay. By means of an equivalent mean-field model defined on regular random networks, we interpret the dynamics of the system in this region and prove that the existence of this second epidemic threshold is not a generic property of this class of models. We show that the continuum of equilibria that characterizes the slow die-out dynamics collapses into a unique equilibrium when a constant awareness decay is assumed, no matter how small, and that the resulting bifurcation from the disease-free equilibrium is equivalent to that of standard epidemic models.