Special Session 112: Nonlinear Dynamics: Methods, Models, and Applications

Classes of multivariate ordinal patterns linked to motion
Alexander Schnurr
Siegen University
Germany
Co-Author(s):    Svenja Fischer, Marco Oesting
Abstract:
The classification of movement in space is one of the key tasks in environmental science. Various geospatial data such as rainfall or other weather data, data on animal movement or landslide data require a quantitative analysis of the probable movement in space to obtain information on potential risks, ecological developments or changes in future. Usually, machine-learning tools are applied for this task. Yet, machine-learning approaches also have some drawbacks, e.g. the often required large training sets and the fact that the algorithms are often hard to interpret. We propose a classification approach for spatial data based on ordinal patterns. Ordinal patterns have the advantage that they are easily applicable, even to small data sets, are robust in the presence of certain changes in the time series and deliver interpretative results. They, therefore, do not only offer an alternative to machine-learning in the case of small data sets but might also be used in pre-processing for a meaningful feature selection. In this talk, we introduce the basic concept of multivariate ordinal patterns, classify them and provide the corresponding limit theorem. The approach is applied to rainfall radar data.