Special Session 137: Nonlinear Dynamics, Chaos, and Applications: From Fractional Systems to Astrophysical Models

Predictive-Switching Control of Stochastic Biochemical Oscillators and Toggle Switches with Contractivity Analysis
Christian Fernandez Perez
I2SYSBIO-CSIC
Spain
Co-Author(s):    Christian Fernandez, Manuel Pajaro, Gabor Szederkenyi, Irene Otero-Muras
Abstract:
Stochastic biochemical oscillators, such as genetic toggle switches, exhibit complex dynamics due to intrinsic molecular noise and low molecular counts. While the Chemical Master Equation (CME) provides a rigorous probabilistic description, it is often computationally intractable; Partial Integro-Differential Equation (PIDE) models offer a tractable alternative with solid theoretical foundations. We introduce the Predictive-Switching Controller (PSC), a model-based strategy that evaluates system trajectories under a finite set of input configurations and selects the one optimizing a cost functional. This framework can stabilize low-probability states, preserve transient bimodality, and reshape complex distributions. To accelerate high-dimensional computations, a neural network predicts optimal input actions, maintaining the reliability of the model-based approach. A key theoretical contribution is the proof of L1-contractivity of the PIDE dynamics, ensuring that probability distributions under fixed control profiles remain bounded and are robust to variations in initial conditions. We validate PSC on stochastic toggle-switch networks, demonstrating its ability to maintain unstable states and modulate bimodal distributions effectively. These results highlight PSC as a flexible, robust, and computationally efficient method for controlling stochastic biochemical oscillators, with potential applications in synthetic biology and the design of robust genetic circuits.